Radebe Sipamla, a portfolio manager at Mergence Investment Managers, is sharply critical of Nedbank’s proposed acquisition of the Kenyan NCBA group, warning that it reflects a poor history of dealmaking. He describes Nedbank’s acquisition track record as “horrendous” and cites its failed Ecobank investment as a prime example of FOMO-driven capital allocation that ultimately destroyed shareholder value. While NCBA has generated returns above its cost of capital in recent years, Sipamla highlights persistently high credit risk metrics, including non-performing loans, arguing these risks raise concerns that the deal could become an “Ecobank 2.0”.
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